Click for Westport Click for Cross Click for Perko Click for JetForums Click for Delta

2019 Storm Season; Hurricane Dorian

Discussion in 'General Yachting Discussion' started by Capt Ralph, Aug 24, 2019.

You need to be registered and signed in to view this content.
Page 8 of 10
  1. olderboater, Sep 1, 2019
    #141
    olderboater

    olderboater Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2013
    Messages:
    7,130
    Location:
    Fort Lauderdale
    Drawbridges Lockdown Process
    Closure Info:
    The lockdown process for all drawbridges in Broward begins at 12PM, Sunday, September 1st with Florida Department of Highway bridges followed by Broward County bridges at 2:30PM. ALL drawbridges will be locked down until further notice. This is to facilitate evacuations, if necessary.


    I don't understand it, just copying and pasting.

    That's from Broward. From Fort Lauderdale:

    BridgesAll drawbridges in Broward County will be locked in the down position by 8 p.m. tonight allowing only for vehicular traffic.
  2. olderboater, Sep 1, 2019
    #142
    olderboater

    olderboater Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2013
    Messages:
    7,130
    Location:
    Fort Lauderdale
  3. Oscarvan, Sep 1, 2019
    #143
    Oscarvan

    Oscarvan Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2015
    Messages:
    969
    Location:
    Chesapeake Bay
    Screw the rich people and their yachts?
  4. Norseman, Sep 1, 2019
    #144
    Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2005
    Messages:
    3,110
    Location:
    Ft. Lauderdale
    Probably because of emergency vehicles.
    Sirens going on Davie Blvd Bridge as we speak.
  5. Norseman, Sep 1, 2019
    #145
    Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2005
    Messages:
    3,110
    Location:
    Ft. Lauderdale
    Spoke to the bridge operator at David Blvd Bridge on Channel 9 just now.
    He said the bridges are on lock down from 5:30 PM today, and the RR Bridge 3:30 PM today.
  6. rtrafford, Sep 1, 2019
    #146
    rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2019
    Messages:
    1,732
    Location:
    Vero Beach
    Can't really argue considering that Andrew went south at a time it was thought to be ready to turn north. This thing is massive. A little burp can wreck a lot of plans.
  7. Capt J, Sep 1, 2019
    #147
    Capt J

    Capt J Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2005
    Messages:
    14,530
    Location:
    Fort Lauderdale
    Well bridge tenders have homes too!!!! I've seen bridges lock down if the winds are over 35 knots. Most of them will, even in non hurricanes.
  8. Fishtigua, Sep 1, 2019
    #148
    Fishtigua

    Fishtigua Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jul 20, 2007
    Messages:
    2,935
    Location:
    Guernsey/Antigua
    Antigua a no hit. Barbuda, just 14 miles away, total destruction.

    Shake the dice baby.
  9. Capt Ralph, Sep 1, 2019
    #149
    Capt Ralph

    Capt Ralph Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2004
    Messages:
    13,439
    Location:
    Satsuma, FL
    Port Miami closed now. No inbound.

    ABC affiliate reporting from Marsh Harbor. Lots near washed away.
    Sadly, there will be a high body count.

  10. Capt Ralph, Sep 1, 2019
    #150
    Capt Ralph

    Capt Ralph Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2004
    Messages:
    13,439
    Location:
    Satsuma, FL
  11. Pascal, Sep 1, 2019
    #151
    Pascal

    Pascal Senior Member

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2008
    Messages:
    8,546
    Location:
    Miami, FL
    Completely different situation. Not only we re talking 1992 computer, sattelite and recon tools plus forecasting skills in their infancy but Andrew was being driven by a strong ridge to the north

    This one is already beyond the edge of the ridge and drastically slowing down prior to turning.

    Apple and oranges...Bayliners and Hatteras
  12. olderboater, Sep 1, 2019
    #152
    olderboater

    olderboater Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2013
    Messages:
    7,130
    Location:
    Fort Lauderdale
    Two things to remember. The forecast distance from the FL coast is less than the normal range of error at this point. Also, how little movement west from the current forecast is required to reach land.

    As an aside, it's current projected path up the coast is almost the same as Matthew.
  13. Capt Ralph, Sep 1, 2019
    #153
    Capt Ralph

    Capt Ralph Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2004
    Messages:
    13,439
    Location:
    Satsuma, FL
    1700 model reflect what was not wanting to be released at 1400.
    New model lines are separating again.
    They don't have a firetrucking clue where it's going.

    Why try to blow us, just tell the truth instead of selling commercials with B S.
    Your freaking guessing and don't have a clue. Admit that and quite trying to be experts.

    There is a storm coming. Report what you know....
  14. captholli, Sep 1, 2019
    #154
    captholli

    captholli Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,184
    Location:
    In The Bilge
    Limited Instagram posting's coming out of Marsh Harbor this afternoon are heartbreaking.. They're basically underwater in town and one posting shows people being swept away by flood waters trying to get to better shelter once the one they were in became compromised . I cant imagine what Green Turtle or Man O War look like. Very sad indeed, Depressing that friends are losing all that they've worked for over the years and hopefully help and assistance will be swift in arrival as they're going to need a lot of help for just the basics in the next few months.
  15. Capt J, Sep 1, 2019
    #155
    Capt J

    Capt J Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2005
    Messages:
    14,530
    Location:
    Fort Lauderdale
    The video's are VERY sad. I wonder how Baker's Bay held up.
  16. captholli, Sep 1, 2019
    #156
    captholli

    captholli Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,184
    Location:
    In The Bilge
    I would venture a guess that its basically foundations showing though the sand with few other solid pour concrete structures left standing. Other than that I would say that Bakers would be scraped clean from the earths crust... Cant imagine 185 mph sustained and gusts to 220 mph for 12 to 15 hours. That's equivalent to a F-3 / F-4 tornado for 15 hours ,There are no building codes for that. Walkers was in the process of being rebuilt and had large amounts of building material on site and I believe that the docks were just completed a month or so ago and they had the NE eye wall so that's going to devastate them as well.
  17. Capt Ralph, Sep 1, 2019
    #157
    Capt Ralph

    Capt Ralph Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2004
    Messages:
    13,439
    Location:
    Satsuma, FL
    At the eye, Bluff house and Green Turtle fairing well.
    From friends north of the basin. Hoping to hang on after the eye.
    No coms yet with new weather wave.

    No info from Treasure.
    No info from Tip O Tilloo, Snake cay, Sea Spray or Pete's pub.
    I would imagine the White Sound Harbor has blown thru again.
    The Jib Room usually survives but may be a while before their heard from.
    It may take a while for all of my friends to check in.
    I'll pray till I hear from them all.

    Yes, The MC has sore knees these last days...
    All are invited to knee down and help.
    Last edited: Sep 1, 2019
  18. Oscarvan, Sep 1, 2019
    #158
    Oscarvan

    Oscarvan Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2015
    Messages:
    969
    Location:
    Chesapeake Bay
    Aviation forecast for Freeport.... 80 gusting 200 knots....

    Attached Files:

  19. FlyingGolfer, Sep 2, 2019
    #159
    FlyingGolfer

    FlyingGolfer Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2017
    Messages:
    214
    Location:
    NC
    Forget property damage, this is a death watch.
  20. rtrafford, Sep 2, 2019
    #160
    rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2019
    Messages:
    1,732
    Location:
    Vero Beach
    Not really the point. The point was, trying again, that the models ALL have a high margin of error that gets reported in their forecasts. This storm is literally a matter of miles and feet from devastating a property or missing it. No one, no model can predict a wiggle or wobble. No one can tell you whether the dune in Vero Beach, for example, is going to stay or go, and behind it devastating erosion and potential for loss of life.

    This monster is that close. No one has a clue how it's going to shake out. Last night as I went to bed I was expecting it to be slowing down only to see it tick up in speed at 11pm. Even the experts were scratching their heads.
Page 8 of 10