Lots of erosion taking place on the west side eye is no longer centered Frankly whether it 150 or 157 is meaningless.
There will always be an outlier that will be way off, it a like Comrade DeBlasio running for President :) The key is to look at the trend of the...
The hysterical cone of death is fixed. It uses the average track error at day 1 to 5, it is not based on each storm or forecast
Yes we are. I was never too worried as it was pretty clear the center was going to pass north getting us westerlies and south westerlies from...
Glad I pulled the plug on the weekend at Bakers Bay Abaco :)
You re missing the point regarding the difference between models and forecasts Models are just raw data out of the computers, they don’t mean...
This why models should come with the same warnings as Awlgrip: “For Professional use only” The pros know how to interpret them and reject the...
In all fairness, the same thing happened back in 2014 when even more FEMA funds were diverted to deal with an influx of illegals at border. Even...
Keep in mind that the southern side of the storm will be weaker than the north side as Hurricane force winds don’t extend as far on the south side...
That s the actual official NHC forecast which is really the only one to base decisions upon Models need to be interpreted and that’s way above...
Actually i think it s nice concept for lakes and rivers. Make it a little bigger with more outside deck space, build in the axle into the...
To be clear this is not a USN forecast. It is a very nice graphical representation of the official NHC forecast
ECMWF: as symmetrical as it gets [ATTACH]
The windfield upon landfall in Windy is all wrong as it shows it to be symmetrical. It never is. Hurricane and TS force wind never extend as far...
Yes... and the GFS paint a very different picture. That’s the problem with models becoming so available to the public. You need to be able to...
The problem with windy and other similar apps is that they use just one model. In this case it must be the euro which is further south than the...
Right now the target is further north, around cocoa beach and Melbourne. You can’t look at one model and call it a forecast. We won’t get a more...
I apologize but... how typical... then here come the words bigot and racist again. I guess science has progressed to the point one can claim...
You re the one taking it off track towards politics. Facts : look up how much was taken out of fema and USCG back in 2014. It was more than this...
Yep... 5pm discussion: The new NHC track forecast is a little bit to the south of the previous one, given that global models have a stronger...