56M Perini S/Y Bayesian Sinks During Palermo Storm

From Perini website: Displacement full load, 543.4 t

I only found this: https://www.centrometeosicilia.it/previsioni-per-lunedi-19-agosto-2024/

and this: https://www.centrometeosicilia.it/n...porali-in-rotta-verso-la-sicilia-occidentale/

so everyone was aware that a storm was on the way, with rain showers, hail, and gusts of wind.

Here at the sec 58 the CEO of ISG showing the meteo forecast:
https://news.sky.com/story/superyac...were-not-in-state-of-alert-for-storm-13201151

I don’t really think the Italian Sea Group’s CEOs comments are well placed/timed. I think most assumptions are right in that the crew was quickly all hands on deck in the middle of the night so they didn’t close all the hatches - just ran up to deal with the situation half awake. Then, get hit by a water spout or microburst and then it quickly sinks. It’s not like it’s that big of a boat where it would take a while to get in deck, the escape hatches/ stairway is right there and it’s one deck versus say a crew quarters on a 60m MY. Sounds like most got over the initial shock of it all but the slower movers took too long to react.

Something is starting to leak from the investigation.

3.50AM The storm hits the area, the Bayesian begins to sway dangerously. The boat starts moving back and forth, then sideways, then forward and back again.

3:59AM: the anchor has now given way, is no longer holding the boat that is drifting.

4:00AM: the yacht is already taking water. The boat is not manoeuvrable and there is water in either the generator or engine room.

4:05AM: The Bayesian sinks. After drifting for 358 meters, the boat's bow starts to sink.

4:06AM, the 'EPIRB' automatically launches the sinking alarm at the 'Cospas Sarsab' satellite station in Bari, operated by the Coast Guard.

May I wonder out loud her a second or two;
Starting to read like something had already happened before the supposed micro burst(?) hit Bayesian.

Guest & crew called on deck in PFDs.
Down by the bow,, quickly.

Some breach or failure in the bow?
With hundreds of feet of chain rode out, high winds causing rapid tension on the rode,,
Anchor haws pipe failure? Did the bow plating fail?
Did the bow fall off?

IMO, this could explain a lot.

This is not a silvcarvliner… the bow or hawspipe isn’t going to fail before the chain, shackle or swivel. Anchors will drag before structural damage occurs anyway.

And divers/ROV report the wreck is pretty much intact.

one thing is sure, the captain isn’t heading home to NZ anytime soon. Remember in Italy you are not innocent until proven guilty… and Perini is the pride of Italian yacht building.

I'm playing that video now, with tongue in cheek,,, maybe not far off..
Yes, plenty of engineering to keep anything from happening,, but something did..

I am still guessing out loud but I do feel she was already flooding to get the people on deck, in their PFDs,,, Before the micro burst or rouge wave or something falling somewhere.

So...it is right to crucify the company that made the yacht based on ridiculous speculations about the mast of a boat that has been sailing around the world since 2008.
A 16-year-old SY suddenly becomes a structurally unsound vessel, because this is what the media has been saying from the start.

I expect nothing different from the CEO of a company listed on the stock exchange. Ask to the CEO of Boeing etc...
It is their job to stand up for the company, its shareholders, and its employees.

There is something else nobody is saying...except for a captain of a 60-meter motor yacht and a chiefstew of a motor yacht docked in the port of Porticello, both interviewed by Sky News...